T Theory® Encyclopedia Sample

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Welcome Message

Welcome to the free sample page for T Theory® Encyclopedia.

If you are new to T Theory®, Welcome !  The audios should provide an excellent introduction to T Theory™.  The commentaries are based on our free chart list at Stockcharts.com. 

T Theory® Encyclopedia is a private, members-only WordPress community that currently costs $350 for a lifetime membership.

The sample website is designed to give potential Encyclopedia members an opportunity to see the type of content posted at T Theory® Encyclopedia before deciding to join.  When you are ready to join, please email Paula Burke at ttheoryfoundation@gmail.com or call 1-888-228-2995 for instructions on how to become a member.

The Encyclopedia is based on a seminar presented in September of 2011 by the late famed money manager Terrence Laundry.  The T Theory® Foundation, Inc., is a research foundation devoted to developing the T Theory® Market Timing Principles.

Paula Burke is Business Manager and President of T Theory® Foundation, Inc.

The Seminar material is five hours worth of presentation.  Here is the Syllabus.  You will be able to download the Power Point presentations that we used, and listen to the audio recording of each presentation.  The audio recordings have been edited to down to about 35 minutes each.

Finally, our members are able to comment and ask questions at the Encyclopedia page as they digest the material.

We hope you’ll join us! Paula

Here is our sample for your review:

Long-Range S&P 500 Oscillator Ts

This report introduces a new class of Oscillator Ts that generate relatively long time projections for the purpose of orienting asset management towards the bigger picture. The concept evolved from the Tocqueville Gold Fund T, recently presented in my Gold Tutorial, and how we will grow the basic concept into a tool for forecasting the major S&P 500 up and down trends, top dates and low formations.

The conclusion is that the S&P and most equity classes formed a “permanent” peak at the end of March 2012 and we can expect a new decline to set in until the next major oversold condition develops. According to the nominal 17-month cycle that I detailed in our last report, the next low might be near early 2013, plus or minus some normal uncertainty, perhaps a couple of months either way.

In terms of the longer cycles I had discussed earlier, the four-year election cycle and the seven-year M Cycle would now appear to have resolved their mixture into a four-year cycle for the present. That is, the next low might be about four years after the March 2009 low. This low should eventually produce a dramatic new upside run to token new highs by 2014-15, in line with the Edson Gould Megaphone formation, then a dramatic decline to new lows by the year 2016-17 (plus or minus) as a climax to the nominal seven-year (low to low) “M cycle”.

The long-range S&P Oscillator Ts require the design of a special MACD-type of Oscillator that can show historical accuracy in defining the time span over a relatively long time period. I applied the same Oscillator to the S&P that I used on TGLDX in the Gold Tutorial, and immediately saw the problem for the equity market in the chart below.

Limited Cash Build Up

The secondary rally from the Summer 2010 low proved so strong by May 2011 that the MACD Oscillator had peaked above the initial top in April 2010 thereby preventing a respectably long Cash Build Up phase from forming in this particular Oscillator design.

By normal T Theory® criteria this means the rally from late last year’s oversold condition never had the “Cash Build Up Time Potential” to blossom into a longer term advance. This is noted as “Only Small T Possible” in this chart. But it was good enough to produce a deceptive upside breakout in the popular averages.

One can also see that this oscillator is not very optimum in projecting the recent peaks that took place in the current bull market. I asked Parker to try different combinations of MACD parameters until the time symmetry resolved itself correctly. This occurred with moving averages of 9 and 19 weeks as noted at the bottom left of our third chart below which correctly forecasts the peaks we need to know. This chart also helps to identify the important oversold characteristics of the S&P action near the center post of a new T.

To learn what this chart has to offer we need to note that the Oscillator looks to be very good at identifying when the market is overbought and we can now more clearly see the developing Cash Build Up periods. This required changing some of the minor smoothing parameters in MACD.

 

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